IS IT TRUMP’S FAULT?

Real event · weather · 2026-09-22

Developing El Niño becomes strongest on record weeks before expected peak

Final verdict announced: September 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

The Trump Jury

Is it Trump’s fault?

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What actually happened

Real headline

Developing El Niño becomes strongest on record weeks before expected peak

Scientists say the developing El Niño is now the strongest on record with weather impacts already being felt around the world.

The documented connection: Documented · Authority: none

What the record shows

The developing El Niño is the strongest on record.

Original reporting

Sources

• BBC News — Developing El Niño becomes strongest on record weeks before expected peak — 2026-09-22
  Original reporting. Open the source; this site does not replace it.

Two articles. Two perspectives.

Read one from each side, then put your verdict in above.

Yes, it's his fault

El Niño's Record Strength: A Direct Result of Trump's Policies

Opening Argument

The prosecution argues that the unprecedented strength of the developing El Niño is a direct consequence of the reckless environmental policies championed by Donald Trump. The prosecution alleges that his administration's rollback of climate regulations has led to a destabilization of weather patterns, culminating in this record-breaking phenomenon.

Exhibit A: The Plausible Link

The prosecution submits that scientists have confirmed the developing El Niño is now the strongest on record, and this alarming fact cannot be separated from Trump's legacy of environmental negligence. In the prosecution's theory, every extreme weather event is a reflection of his disregard for climate science.

The Domino Effect

The prosecution imagines a chain reaction where Trump's policies lead to increased greenhouse gas emissions, which in turn exacerbate El Niño's effects.

The Hidden Danger

The prosecution urges that the consequences of this El Niño will be catastrophic, affecting food supplies and displacing millions. The prosecutor alleges that Trump's indifference to climate change has put the world at risk.

Closing Argument

In this fictional case, the prosecution asserts that Trump's legacy is one of destruction, and the current weather crisis is merely a symptom of his policies.

Verdict

The prosecution alleges: The prosecution believes that the evidence is clear: Trump's actions have led us to this perilous moment.

The case for

1. Prosecution theory: Trump's policies led to increased greenhouse gas emissions.
2. Prosecution theory: Increased emissions exacerbate El Niño effects.
3. Prosecution theory: Extreme weather events reflect Trump's environmental negligence.

Reality Check

Scientists say the developing El Niño is now the strongest on record with weather impacts already being felt around the world.

No, it's not his fault

El Niño's Record Strength: A Natural Phenomenon Unrelated to Politics

The Result

Supporters might argue that the developing El Niño, now the strongest on record, is a natural occurrence that has little to do with any political figure. The defense submits that climate patterns have been shifting for centuries, and this is simply part of the Earth's natural cycles.

What Trump Did

The defense might suggest that while some may try to link this event to Trump's policies, the reality is that El Niño is a well-documented climate phenomenon that occurs independently of human actions.

Why Supporters Credit Him

Supporters might argue that Trump's administration has focused on economic growth, which has allowed for advancements in technology and infrastructure that can help mitigate the impacts of such natural events.

The Supporting Record

The defense admits that while the current El Niño is strong, it is not unprecedented, and historical data shows similar events occurring in the past without any political influence.

The Limitation or Competing Explanation

However, the defense might argue that attributing this natural event to any one person's policies is misleading and ignores the complexity of climate science.

Verdict

If this is Trump's fault, his supporters will gladly let him take the blame.

The case against

1. Supporters' theory: El Niño is a natural occurrence unrelated to politics.
2. Supporters' theory: Climate patterns shift independently of human actions.
3. Supporters' theory: Historical data shows similar events without political influence.

Reality Check

Scientists say the developing El Niño is now the strongest on record with weather impacts already being felt around the world.

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